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Red169
176852.4
596218.6
19071.7
Blue137
7855.0
8858.1
34821.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149142100120160180200169137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+40Teleop
+28Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +26
23Coral scored#17
84Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
112Total teleop86
Reef
13L4#8
8L3#6
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points2
169Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
71.70.5
71.271.7
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
red by 13.6
88
#2
58.10.0
58.158.1
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
Second
52.40.5
51.952.4
Auto7.7
Teleop37.7
End7.0
blue by 2.7
78
#7
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
Third
5962
#37
18.60.5
18.118.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.2
blue by 2.9
348
#18
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto3.1
Teleop15.1
End3.3