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Red75
511230.1
808535.1
633321.6
Blue128
19071.7
9715.6
206727.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7512105010015020075128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+51
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points18
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +33
11Coral scored#19
38Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
52Total teleop85
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#7
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
15Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
75Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#11
35.10.0
33.032.9
Auto3.3
Teleop26.4
End5.4
blue by 36.6
190
#1
71.71.5
61.763.2
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
Second
5112
#30
30.10.0
22.122.1
Auto4.5
Teleop24.5
End1.1
red by 2.2
2067
#23
27.92.4
34.236.6
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End6.0
Third
6333
#22
21.60.0
20.020.0
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End2.2
red by 6.0
97
#19
15.61.5
10.311.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned