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Red99
417615.9
55823.3
176852.4
Blue55
371910.6
174034.7
66208.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106520204060801201401609955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +44
14Coral scored#4
50Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
70Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
4Foul points0
99Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.6
41.642.2
Auto7.7
Teleop37.7
End7.0
red by 17.6
1740
#17
34.70.6
32.032.6
Auto12.7
Teleop18.7
End3.3
Second
558
#35
23.30.9
28.429.4
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End2.3
red by 12.7
3719
#28
10.60.4
7.78.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End1.9
Third
4176
#25
15.90.6
16.617.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 7.1
6620
#29
8.80.4
9.610.0
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed