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Red129
8858.1
111920.6
346432.6
Blue43
135017.2
207916.8
1025431.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888120406010012014012943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+80Teleop
+82Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +67
19Coral scored#6
67Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
91Total teleop24
Reef
7L4#2
8L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
6Foul points2
129Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
58.14.6
26.531.0
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
red by 26.3
31.82.4
20.918.5
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End6.8
Second
3464
#21
32.64.6
26.631.1
Auto3.7
Teleop25.9
End2.9
red by 15.3
1350
#31
17.24.0
21.817.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Third
1119
#34
20.64.6
18.022.6
Auto2.9
Teleop17.2
End0.5
red by 3.7
2079
#27
16.84.0
22.818.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned