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Red153
206441.5
1025431.8
81122.1
Blue90
7855.0
549412.8
66208.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778005010015020015390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+49Teleop
+57Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points4
21Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +41
22Coral scored#14
78Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
102Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#3
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points0
153Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.54.0
33.337.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.1
End8.4
blue by 13.5
78
#7
55.00.3
44.144.4
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
Second
31.84.0
18.522.5
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End6.8
red by 18.9
5494
#33
12.80.6
12.813.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Third
811
#24
22.14.0
14.118.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End2.5
red by 13.3
6620
#29
8.80.3
10.010.3
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned