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Red64
24626.8
511230.1
371910.6
Blue139
808535.1
573522.2
8858.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52942040608012014016064139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+51
Endgame+63
Fouls+75
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +58
10Coral scored#22
36Coral points78
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
44Total teleop102
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points12
64Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5112
#30
30.10.3
22.122.4
Auto4.5
Teleop24.5
End1.1
blue by 28.0
88
#2
58.14.1
31.035.1
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
Second
246
#8
26.80.3
23.724.0
Auto4.6
Teleop19.1
End3.0
blue by 8.3
8085
#11
35.12.4
32.935.4
Auto3.3
Teleop26.4
End5.4
Third
3719
#28
10.60.3
8.18.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End1.9
blue by 11.6
5735
#20
22.22.4
21.323.8
Auto3.4
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned