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Red53
417615.9
500036.1
207916.8
Blue113
111920.6
135017.2
19071.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6312505010015020053113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+60
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave6
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +42
7Coral scored#16
24Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
34Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#6
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
10Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
6Foul points6
53Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#16
36.11.4
23.922.5
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End1.9
blue by 35.6
190
#1
71.70.2
63.263.4
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
Second
2079
#27
16.81.4
18.817.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 3.7
1119
#34
20.60.4
22.623.0
Auto2.9
Teleop17.2
End0.5
Third
4176
#25
15.90.9
17.216.3
Auto2.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 1.4
1350
#31
17.20.4
17.818.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed