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Red16
173520.0
596218.6
147417.7
Blue155
287636.4
66337.6
115345.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56100020408012014016155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+119
Endgame+131
Fouls+139
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +106
3Coral scored#25
11Coral points89
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
0Processor points12
0Net points16
0Algae points28
11Total teleop117
Reef
1L4#10
1L3#8
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +139
0Foul points8
16Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
#36
20.04.8
21.716.9
Auto3.5
Teleop16.4
End0.1
blue by 25.9
45.96.2
30.737.0
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End8.1
Second
5962
#37
18.62.9
14.411.5
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.2
blue by 19.0
663
#14
37.63.7
33.537.2
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End2.4
Third
1474
#26
17.74.8
22.818.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.3
blue by 18.7
2876
#12
36.43.7
26.730.5
Auto7.4
Teleop26.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned