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Red74
34821.5
808535.1
24626.8
Blue52
346432.6
18118.6
207916.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886402040801001207452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+2Teleop
+16Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave0
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto0
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
43Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points0
74Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#11
35.10.8
35.434.6
Auto3.3
Teleop26.4
End5.4
red by 2.5
3464
#21
32.61.3
26.725.4
Auto3.7
Teleop25.9
End2.9
Second
246
#8
26.80.8
24.023.2
Auto4.6
Teleop19.1
End3.0
red by 8.2
181
#32
18.61.3
16.315.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.4
Third
348
#18
21.50.8
17.416.7
Auto3.1
Teleop15.1
End3.3
red by 4.7
2079
#27
16.81.3
17.416.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed