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Red74
174034.7
9715.6
175742.4
Blue55
66337.6
549412.8
55823.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70852040601001201407455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
47Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
74Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#10
42.40.6
26.226.8
Auto4.9
Teleop29.3
End8.2
red by 4.8
663
#14
37.61.5
37.235.7
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End2.4
Second
1740
#17
34.70.6
33.033.6
Auto12.7
Teleop18.7
End3.3
red by 11.5
558
#35
23.32.5
26.824.3
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End2.3
Third
97
#19
15.60.4
9.19.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.6
red by 2.8
5494
#33
12.82.5
13.310.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed