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Red118
18118.6
173520.0
19071.7
Blue100
176852.4
1025431.8
66208.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1158450100150200118100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+34Teleop
+24Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +44
17Coral scored#10
61Coral points37
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
24Processor points12
16Net points8
40Algae points20
101Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points6
118Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
71.71.2
63.464.6
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
red by 19.3
52.40.9
41.942.8
Auto7.7
Teleop37.7
End7.0
Second
1735
#36
20.01.9
16.918.9
Auto3.5
Teleop16.4
End0.1
blue by 11.8
31.80.9
22.523.4
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End6.8
Third
181
#32
18.61.9
15.117.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.4
red by 9.8
6620
#29
8.80.9
10.311.2
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned