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Red128
596218.6
115345.9
944329.8
Blue68
34821.5
147417.7
111920.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82630204010012014012868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points4
13Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +29
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
81Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
30Foul points0
128Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.91.8
37.038.8
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End8.1
red by 24.4
348
#18
21.50.1
16.716.6
Auto3.1
Teleop15.1
End3.3
Second
9443
#13
29.81.1
22.023.1
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 9.3
1119
#34
20.60.1
23.022.9
Auto2.9
Teleop17.2
End0.5
Third
5962
#37
18.61.1
11.512.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.2
red by 1.0
1474
#26
17.70.1
18.017.9
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed