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Red82
15133.8
81122.1
346432.6
Blue96
135017.2
287636.4
500036.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738102040601001201401608296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points21
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
68Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#5
1L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
82Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#15
33.80.9
25.526.4
Auto6.7
Teleop26.8
End0.3
blue by 2.6
2876
#12
36.41.3
30.531.8
Auto7.4
Teleop26.4
End2.6
Second
3464
#21
32.61.4
25.426.9
Auto3.7
Teleop25.9
End2.9
blue by 3.5
5000
#16
36.12.2
27.029.2
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End1.9
Third
811
#24
22.10.9
18.118.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End2.5
red by 4.9
1350
#31
17.22.2
18.720.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed