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Red134
55823.3
206441.5
7855.0
Blue53
206727.9
8858.1
417615.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119102608014016013453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+71Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points7
22Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +62
18Coral scored#6
64Coral points20
4Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
24Processor points6
8Net points8
32Algae points14
96Total teleop34
Reef
11L4#2
4L3#2
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
134Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#7
55.01.4
44.846.2
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
blue by 3.1
88
#2
58.15.0
39.634.7
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
Second
41.51.4
37.939.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.1
End8.4
red by 13.6
2067
#23
27.95.0
36.031.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End6.0
Third
558
#35
23.32.3
24.326.7
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End2.3
red by 7.4
4176
#25
15.93.0
16.913.9
Auto2.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed