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Red125
169947.0
371910.6
176852.4
Blue83
808535.1
9715.6
18118.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9461020408010012012583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+50Teleop
+48Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +46
19Coral scored#11
70Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
92Total teleop46
Reef
11L4#3
4L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points6
125Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.42.8
42.845.5
Auto7.7
Teleop37.7
End7.0
red by 17.3
8085
#11
35.11.1
34.635.7
Auto3.3
Teleop26.4
End5.4
Second
47.04.6
32.336.9
Auto6.1
Teleop37.6
End3.4
red by 28.4
181
#32
18.61.8
17.018.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.4
Third
3719
#28
10.62.8
8.711.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End1.9
blue by 5.0
97
#19
15.61.1
9.510.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned