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Red111
944329.8
111920.6
173520.0
Blue111
511230.1
174034.7
66337.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7010520406080120140160111111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+20
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#17
39Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
79Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#9
2L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
111Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9443
#13
29.8
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
blue by 7.8
663
#14
37.6
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End2.4
Second
1119
#34
20.6
Auto2.9
Teleop17.2
End0.5
blue by 14.2
1740
#17
34.7
Auto12.7
Teleop18.7
End3.3
Third
1735
#36
20.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.4
End0.1
blue by 10.1
5112
#30
30.1
Auto4.5
Teleop24.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed