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Red118
633321.6
24626.8
287636.4
Blue83
1025431.8
596218.6
175742.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95712040608012014011883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points40
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
24Processor points18
16Net points12
40Algae points30
91Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
118Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#12
36.41.7
31.833.5
Auto7.4
Teleop26.4
End2.6
blue by 6.0
1757
#10
42.40.6
26.827.4
Auto4.9
Teleop29.3
End8.2
Second
246
#8
26.81.7
23.224.9
Auto4.6
Teleop19.1
End3.0
blue by 5.0
31.80.3
23.423.8
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End6.8
Third
6333
#22
21.62.9
24.026.9
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End2.2
red by 2.9
5962
#37
18.60.3
12.613.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed