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Red144
207916.8
115345.9
8858.1
Blue136
19071.7
549412.8
169947.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9312320406080140160180144136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points22
30Total auto22
Teleoperatedlevel
21Coral scored#19
76Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
100Total teleop100
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#7
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
144Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
58.15.0
34.739.7
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
blue by 13.6
190
#1
71.71.2
64.665.8
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
Second
45.95.4
38.844.2
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End8.1
blue by 1.1
47.02.1
36.938.9
Auto6.1
Teleop37.6
End3.4
Third
2079
#27
16.85.4
16.121.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
red by 4.0
5494
#33
12.81.9
10.912.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned