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Red53
206727.9
111920.6
500036.1
Blue103
206441.5
66337.6
9715.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919260708010053103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+32
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +26
7Coral scored#16
26Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
40Total teleop66
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
53Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#16
36.13.7
29.225.5
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End1.9
blue by 5.4
41.50.6
39.339.9
Auto8.0
Teleop25.1
End8.4
Second
2067
#23
27.93.7
31.127.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End6.0
blue by 9.7
663
#14
37.60.6
35.736.3
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End2.4
Third
1119
#34
20.63.7
22.919.2
Auto2.9
Teleop17.2
End0.5
red by 5.0
97
#19
15.60.6
10.511.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned