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Red39
346432.6
66208.8
147417.7
Blue119
573522.2
115345.9
174034.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52118010015020039119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+62
Endgame+76
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +48
5Coral scored#13
18Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
28Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#8
1L3#3
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points4
39Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#21
32.62.1
26.924.8
Auto3.7
Teleop25.9
End2.9
blue by 13.3
45.91.1
44.245.3
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End8.1
Second
1474
#26
17.72.1
17.915.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.3
blue by 17.1
1740
#17
34.71.2
33.634.8
Auto12.7
Teleop18.7
End3.3
Third
6620
#29
8.81.3
10.59.3
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End1.2
blue by 13.4
5735
#20
22.20.7
23.724.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned