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Red105
549412.8
944329.8
1025431.8
Blue66
173520.0
371910.6
808535.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727705010015020025030010566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+27Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
71Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
12Foul points0
105Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.2
23.825.0
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End6.8
blue by 3.3
8085
#11
35.10.9
35.734.8
Auto3.3
Teleop26.4
End5.4
Second
9443
#13
29.81.2
23.124.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 9.8
1735
#36
20.01.4
18.917.4
Auto3.5
Teleop16.4
End0.1
Third
5494
#33
12.81.8
12.814.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
red by 2.3
3719
#28
10.60.9
11.410.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed