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Red156
19071.7
207916.8
7855.0
Blue62
287636.4
55823.3
15133.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151815010020015662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+72Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +68
21Coral scored#9
75Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
6Processor points6
28Net points4
34Algae points10
109Total teleop41
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#3
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#15
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
156Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
71.71.3
65.867.1
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
red by 35.3
2876
#12
36.41.8
33.431.6
Auto7.4
Teleop26.4
End2.6
Second
78
#7
55.01.3
46.247.5
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
red by 21.3
151
#15
33.81.8
25.723.9
Auto6.7
Teleop26.8
End0.3
Third
2079
#27
16.82.2
21.523.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 6.4
558
#35
23.33.0
26.723.7
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed