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Red93
207916.8
175742.4
808535.1
Blue73
147417.7
7855.0
944329.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961017080901101201309373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#12
32Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
56Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#3
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
12Foul points0
93Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#10
42.40.9
28.027.1
Auto4.9
Teleop29.3
End8.2
blue by 12.7
78
#7
55.01.1
47.546.4
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
Second
8085
#11
35.10.6
34.834.2
Auto3.3
Teleop26.4
End5.4
red by 5.3
9443
#13
29.81.1
24.323.1
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
2079
#27
16.80.9
23.722.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 0.8
1474
#26
17.71.9
15.813.9
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed