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Red124
944329.8
175742.4
417615.9
Blue129
206441.5
346432.6
176852.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6512550100150200124129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +4
21Coral scored#17
77Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
6Processor points18
8Net points8
14Algae points26
91Total teleop87
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
124Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#10
42.46.1
27.133.2
Auto4.9
Teleop29.3
End8.2
blue by 10.0
52.41.0
46.047.0
Auto7.7
Teleop37.7
End7.0
Second
9443
#13
29.83.7
23.126.8
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
blue by 11.7
41.51.0
39.740.7
Auto8.0
Teleop25.1
End8.4
Third
4176
#25
15.93.7
12.516.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 16.7
3464
#21
32.61.7
22.524.3
Auto3.7
Teleop25.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned