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Red112
81122.1
19071.7
34821.5
Blue73
111920.6
549412.8
287636.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1236505010015011273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+33Teleop
+45Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +37
16Coral scored#8
56Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
80Total teleop43
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points6
112Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
71.70.6
67.267.7
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
red by 35.3
2876
#12
36.40.2
31.631.9
Auto7.4
Teleop26.4
End2.6
Second
811
#24
22.10.6
20.220.8
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End2.5
red by 1.6
1119
#34
20.60.4
19.219.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.2
End0.5
Third
348
#18
21.50.6
16.216.8
Auto3.1
Teleop15.1
End3.3
red by 8.7
5494
#33
12.80.3
12.813.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed