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Red54
206727.9
596218.6
135017.2
Blue72
173520.0
573522.2
511230.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62672040801005472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#12
22Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
36Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#2
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
12Cage & park0
12Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
54Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#23
27.90.8
30.029.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End6.0
blue by 2.2
5112
#30
30.10.2
24.424.6
Auto4.5
Teleop24.5
End1.1
Second
5962
#37
18.60.5
13.813.3
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.2
blue by 3.6
5735
#20
22.20.2
24.224.3
Auto3.4
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Third
1350
#31
17.20.8
17.416.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End2.0
blue by 2.8
1735
#36
20.00.3
14.614.9
Auto3.5
Teleop16.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed