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Red65
633321.6
66337.6
135017.2
Blue68
24626.8
175742.4
549412.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907640601001201406568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
49Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
65Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#14
37.61.2
38.237.0
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End2.4
blue by 4.8
1757
#10
42.40.4
33.232.9
Auto4.9
Teleop29.3
End8.2
Second
6333
#22
21.61.8
28.026.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End2.2
blue by 5.2
246
#8
26.80.2
25.224.9
Auto4.6
Teleop19.1
End3.0
Third
1350
#31
17.21.8
16.614.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End2.0
red by 4.4
5494
#33
12.80.3
13.012.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned