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Red78
9715.6
417615.9
81122.1
Blue93
1025431.8
115345.9
147417.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5412101001502007893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points42
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
65Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
78Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#24
22.11.3
20.822.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End2.5
blue by 23.8
45.90.9
44.743.8
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End8.1
Second
4176
#25
15.91.3
16.217.5
Auto2.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 15.9
31.80.7
28.027.2
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End6.8
Third
97
#19
15.61.3
11.412.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.6
blue by 2.1
1474
#26
17.71.1
19.218.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned