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Red129
8858.1
173520.0
55823.3
Blue94
287636.4
66208.8
808535.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87835010015012994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
17Coral scored#15
60Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
78Total teleop68
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#6
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
14Foul points0
129Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
58.13.3
44.347.6
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
red by 21.7
2876
#12
36.40.9
31.932.8
Auto7.4
Teleop26.4
End2.6
Second
558
#35
23.33.8
19.122.9
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End2.3
blue by 11.8
8085
#11
35.10.9
35.236.1
Auto3.3
Teleop26.4
End5.4
Third
1735
#36
20.04.1
14.919.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.4
End0.1
red by 11.2
6620
#29
8.80.9
12.813.7
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned