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Qual 52025 NE District URI Event
Red88
573522.2
15133.8
7855.0
Blue94
66337.6
944329.8
24626.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028140601201408894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +7
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points47
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
74Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
88Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#7
55.00.2
44.3→44.1
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
red by 17.4
663
#14
37.61.3
32.2→33.5
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End2.4
Second
151
#15
33.80.2
25.5→25.3
Auto6.7
Teleop26.8
End0.3
red by 3.9
9443
#13
29.81.3
20.5→21.7
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
5735
#20
22.20.2
21.6→21.3
Auto3.4
Teleop16.5
End2.3
blue by 4.6
246
#8
26.81.3
22.4→23.7
Auto4.6
Teleop19.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed