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Red112
549412.8
81122.1
115345.9
Blue56
18118.6
206441.5
596218.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4976020406010012014016011256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+32Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
54Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
30Foul points6
112Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.93.8
26.930.7
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End8.1
red by 4.4
41.51.2
34.533.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.1
End8.4
Second
811
#24
22.12.3
11.814.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End2.5
red by 3.5
5962
#37
18.61.2
15.614.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.2
Third
5494
#33
12.83.8
9.012.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
blue by 5.8
181
#32
18.62.1
18.416.3
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed