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Red69
500036.1
34821.5
174034.7
Blue108
7855.0
808535.1
417615.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83116406010014016018069108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+31
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +42
8Coral scored#17
30Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
40Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
69Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#16
36.10.9
29.728.8
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End1.9
blue by 19.0
78
#7
55.00.4
48.248.6
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
Second
1740
#17
34.71.0
32.631.6
Auto12.7
Teleop18.7
End3.3
blue by 0.4
8085
#11
35.10.4
36.136.6
Auto3.3
Teleop26.4
End5.4
Third
348
#18
21.50.6
16.015.3
Auto3.1
Teleop15.1
End3.3
red by 5.6
4176
#25
15.90.4
17.517.9
Auto2.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned