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Red148
66337.6
346432.6
1025431.8
Blue102
15133.8
207916.8
511230.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105866080120140160148102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+16Teleop
+28Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +19
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points47
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
30Processor points18
20Net points16
50Algae points34
100Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
18Foul points0
148Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#14
37.61.4
37.038.4
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End2.4
red by 3.8
151
#15
33.80.6
27.127.7
Auto6.7
Teleop26.8
End0.3
Second
3464
#21
32.62.1
26.328.3
Auto3.7
Teleop25.9
End2.9
red by 2.5
5112
#30
30.10.6
25.926.6
Auto4.5
Teleop24.5
End1.1
Third
31.81.4
27.228.7
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End6.8
red by 14.9
2079
#27
16.80.9
24.024.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed