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Red113
9715.6
287636.4
8858.1
Blue66
66208.8
573522.2
19071.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941165015020011366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+35Teleop
+45Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
67Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
2Foul points0
113Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
58.11.4
47.649.0
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
blue by 13.6
190
#1
71.72.8
69.766.8
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
Second
2876
#12
36.41.1
32.833.9
Auto7.4
Teleop26.4
End2.6
red by 14.2
5735
#20
22.22.8
24.922.1
Auto3.4
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Third
97
#19
15.61.1
13.414.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.6
red by 6.8
6620
#29
8.82.8
13.710.9
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed