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Red42
24626.8
147417.7
55823.3
Blue45
111920.6
417615.9
633321.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80732040601001201404245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
5Coral scored#7
17Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
25Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points0
42Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#8
26.82.2
25.423.2
Auto4.6
Teleop19.1
End3.0
red by 5.2
6333
#22
21.61.9
26.024.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End2.2
Second
558
#35
23.32.9
24.021.0
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End2.3
red by 2.7
1119
#34
20.61.7
22.420.6
Auto2.9
Teleop17.2
End0.5
Third
1474
#26
17.72.9
19.516.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.3
red by 1.8
4176
#25
15.91.4
17.916.5
Auto2.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed