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Red74
549412.8
206441.5
135017.2
Blue124
346432.6
169947.0
511230.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6811205010015074124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+42
Endgame+30
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +45
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points53
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
6Processor points24
8Net points16
14Algae points40
48Total teleop93
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points20
74Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.4
42.142.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.1
End8.4
blue by 5.5
47.00.4
44.544.9
Auto6.1
Teleop37.6
End3.4
Second
1350
#31
17.20.5
13.113.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End2.0
blue by 15.3
3464
#21
32.60.4
28.328.7
Auto3.7
Teleop25.9
End2.9
Third
5494
#33
12.80.4
13.313.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
blue by 17.3
5112
#30
30.10.3
26.626.9
Auto4.5
Teleop24.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed