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Red45
207916.8
66208.8
173520.0
Blue109
18118.6
206727.9
174034.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5692020408010012014045109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+56
Endgame+70
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +41
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
24Total teleop65
Reef
2L4#9
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
8Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
6Foul points0
45Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
#36
20.01.8
19.717.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.4
End0.1
blue by 14.7
1740
#17
34.72.2
31.633.9
Auto12.7
Teleop18.7
End3.3
Second
2079
#27
16.81.7
24.923.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 11.0
2067
#23
27.92.1
28.730.8
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End6.0
Third
6620
#29
8.81.3
10.99.6
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End1.2
blue by 9.8
181
#32
18.62.2
22.424.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned