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Red140
175742.4
8858.1
371910.6
Blue86
944329.8
81122.1
287636.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10387406012014016018014086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+60Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
91Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#6
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points6
140Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
58.13.5
49.052.5
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
red by 21.7
2876
#12
36.40.1
33.933.8
Auto7.4
Teleop26.4
End2.6
Second
1757
#10
42.44.3
34.038.3
Auto4.9
Teleop29.3
End8.2
red by 12.6
9443
#13
29.80.1
26.826.7
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
3719
#28
10.63.2
9.112.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End1.9
blue by 11.5
811
#24
22.10.1
20.920.8
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned