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Red72
633321.6
173520.0
346432.6
Blue137
81122.1
7855.0
8858.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711475010020025072137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+49
Endgame+69
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
12Processor points12
4Net points16
16Algae points28
53Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#6
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
6Foul points2
72Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#21
32.60.4
28.728.4
Auto3.7
Teleop25.9
End2.9
blue by 25.5
88
#2
58.10.7
52.553.3
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
Second
6333
#22
21.60.4
24.123.8
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End2.2
blue by 33.5
78
#7
55.00.7
51.051.7
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
Third
1735
#36
20.00.4
17.817.4
Auto3.5
Teleop16.4
End0.1
blue by 2.1
811
#24
22.10.7
20.821.5
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned