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Red56
18118.6
176852.4
549412.8
Blue110
500036.1
944329.8
573522.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988640608012014056110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+36
Endgame+48
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
28Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
8Foul points14
56Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.43.0
51.348.3
Auto7.7
Teleop37.7
End7.0
red by 16.3
5000
#16
36.11.0
32.033.0
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End1.9
Second
181
#32
18.64.0
24.620.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.4
blue by 11.2
9443
#13
29.80.8
26.727.5
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
5494
#33
12.83.0
13.710.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
blue by 9.4
5735
#20
22.20.8
22.123.0
Auto3.4
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned