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Red125
176852.4
24626.8
500036.1
Blue97
549412.8
15133.8
173520.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11853010015012597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
18Coral scored#20
64Coral points71
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
88Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#10
7L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
125Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.9
48.349.3
Auto7.7
Teleop37.7
End7.0
red by 18.6
151
#15
33.82.1
30.732.9
Auto6.7
Teleop26.8
End0.3
Second
5000
#16
36.11.0
33.034.1
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End1.9
red by 16.0
1735
#36
20.02.6
17.420.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.4
End0.1
Third
246
#8
26.80.9
24.325.3
Auto4.6
Teleop19.1
End3.0
red by 13.9
5494
#33
12.82.1
10.712.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed