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Qual 702025 NE District URI Event
Red103
169947.0
596218.6
174034.7
Blue145
1025431.8
8858.1
34821.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10912080100140160180103145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+30
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +5
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
76Total teleop81
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points12
103Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#9
47.00.2
46.3→46.1
Auto6.1
Teleop37.6
End3.4
blue by 11.1
88
#2
58.11.4
53.3→54.6
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
Second
1740
#17
34.70.2
34.5→34.3
Auto12.7
Teleop18.7
End3.3
red by 3.0
10254
#6
31.81.4
30.0→31.4
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End6.8
Third
5962
#37
18.60.2
15.7→15.5
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.2
blue by 2.9
348
#18
21.51.4
17.3→18.7
Auto3.1
Teleop15.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned