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Red34
66208.8
633321.6
9715.6
Blue101
944329.8
135017.2
346432.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5282020406010012014034101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+65
Endgame+79
Fouls+67
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +68
2Coral scored#14
8Coral points50
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#5
0Processor points6
0Net points20
0Algae points26
8Total teleop76
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#5
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
12Foul points0
34Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6333
#22
21.62.2
23.821.6
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End2.2
blue by 11.0
3464
#21
32.62.2
28.430.6
Auto3.7
Teleop25.9
End2.9
Second
97
#19
15.62.0
16.915.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.6
blue by 14.2
9443
#13
29.82.0
27.529.5
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
6620
#29
8.82.0
10.88.8
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End1.2
blue by 8.4
1350
#31
17.22.2
15.017.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned