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Red122
7855.0
206727.9
115345.9
Blue87
55823.3
81122.1
808535.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146775010020012287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+23Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
36Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
70Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
122Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#7
55.00.2
51.751.6
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
red by 19.9
8085
#11
35.10.6
34.334.8
Auto3.3
Teleop26.4
End5.4
Second
45.90.2
45.245.0
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End8.1
red by 22.6
558
#35
23.30.6
22.623.3
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End2.3
Third
2067
#23
27.90.2
27.627.5
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End6.0
red by 5.7
811
#24
22.10.6
21.522.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed