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Red155
7855.0
8858.1
34821.5
Blue104
169947.0
573522.2
115345.9
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112380100160180200155104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+43Teleop
+45Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
18Coral scored#14
66Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
6Processor points6
24Net points16
30Algae points22
96Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#6
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points0
155Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
58.10.4
56.256.6
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
red by 11.1
47.00.3
47.347.0
Auto6.1
Teleop37.6
End3.4
Second
78
#7
55.00.4
53.153.6
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
red by 9.1
45.90.3
46.245.9
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End8.1
Third
348
#18
21.50.4
19.620.0
Auto3.1
Teleop15.1
End3.3
blue by 0.7
5735
#20
22.20.3
22.522.2
Auto3.4
Teleop16.5
End2.3