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Red110
206441.5
24626.8
511230.1
Blue83
1025431.8
206727.9
174034.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111107608010012014016011083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+37Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +41
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
79Total teleop38
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
110Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.4
40.040.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.1
End8.4
red by 6.8
1740
#17
34.70.3
34.334.1
Auto12.7
Teleop18.7
End3.3
Second
5112
#30
30.10.4
28.629.0
Auto4.5
Teleop24.5
End1.1
blue by 1.7
31.80.2
31.431.2
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End6.8
Third
246
#8
26.80.4
25.325.6
Auto4.6
Teleop19.1
End3.0
blue by 1.1
2067
#23
27.90.2
27.527.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End6.0