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Red168
7855.0
8858.1
34821.5
Blue111
169947.0
573522.2
115345.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13812480100160180200168111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+37Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
18Coral scored#19
63Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
12Processor points12
32Net points16
44Algae points28
107Total teleop95
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#26
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
168Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
58.10.9
54.955.8
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
red by 11.1
47.00.1
47.147.0
Auto6.1
Teleop37.6
End3.4
Second
78
#7
55.00.9
51.852.7
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
red by 9.1
45.90.1
46.045.9
Auto6.4
Teleop31.4
End8.1
Third
348
#18
21.50.9
18.719.6
Auto3.1
Teleop15.1
End3.3
blue by 0.7
5735
#20
22.20.1
22.322.2
Auto3.4
Teleop16.5
End2.3