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Red191
176852.4
596218.6
19071.7
Blue94
206441.5
24626.8
511230.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148935020019194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+87Teleop
+97Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points15
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +72
29Coral scored#11
105Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
137Total teleop65
Reef
15L4#6
10L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +97
0Foul points0
191Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
71.71.3
68.970.2
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
red by 30.2
41.50.0
40.440.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.1
End8.4
Second
52.41.3
49.650.8
Auto7.7
Teleop37.7
End7.0
red by 22.3
5112
#30
30.10.0
29.028.9
Auto4.5
Teleop24.5
End1.1
Third
5962
#37
18.61.3
15.817.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.2
blue by 8.1
246
#8
26.80.0
25.625.6
Auto4.6
Teleop19.1
End3.0