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Red120
808535.1
944329.8
66337.6
Blue138
175742.4
346432.6
500036.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081166080100140160180120138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+30
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +9
16Coral scored#21
59Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
87Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#12
6L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
120Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#14
37.60.4
37.237.6
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End2.4
blue by 4.8
1757
#10
42.40.6
41.041.7
Auto4.9
Teleop29.3
End8.2
Second
8085
#11
35.10.4
34.735.1
Auto3.3
Teleop26.4
End5.4
blue by 1.0
5000
#16
36.10.6
34.735.4
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End1.9
Third
9443
#13
29.80.4
29.429.8
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
blue by 2.7
3464
#21
32.60.6
31.231.9
Auto3.7
Teleop25.9
End2.9