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Red32
921910.5
703328.2
17725.0
Blue36
930214.2
1019020.6
580019.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615502040801003236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+4
Endgame+8
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
4Coral scored#4
15Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
21Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points2
32Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.22.0
30.928.9
Auto7.2
Teleop17.0
End4.0
red by 7.6
20.61.4
20.719.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Second
9219
#16
10.52.0
17.415.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.0
End0.1
blue by 8.6
19.11.1
20.119.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Third
1772
#14
5.02.0
7.75.7
Auto2.9
Teleop1.6
End0.5
blue by 9.2
9302
#10
14.21.4
9.88.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed